Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 1.154357 1.308256 1.476095 1.672897 1.897562 2.146298 2.442925
2026-01-25 0.896633 1.100600 1.342301 1.650586 2.034442 2.498079 3.102717
2026-02-01 0.743491 0.963683 1.239871 1.613199 2.106959 2.740813 3.621335
2026-02-08 0.636429 0.861882 1.157947 1.577464 2.160339 2.946979 4.098293
2026-02-15 0.571647 0.804160 1.121925 1.591129 2.271857 3.231989 4.703789
2026-02-22 0.513763 0.747376 1.078097 1.584617 2.348350 3.468906 5.259591
2026-03-01 0.462170 0.692911 1.030106 1.563910 2.397436 3.665162 5.769662
2026-03-08 0.409583 0.630956 0.963854 1.506856 2.382080 3.757505 6.121652
2026-03-15 0.376613 0.595344 0.933366 1.500727 2.443485 3.972437 6.690332
2026-03-22 0.363506 0.589367 0.947887 1.566863 2.626804 4.400316 7.660205
2026-03-29 0.337380 0.559644 0.921097 1.561277 2.687900 4.627356 8.302975
2026-04-05 0.319035 0.541021 0.910575 1.581522 2.794101 4.940237 9.131136
2026-04-12 0.294472 0.512075 0.884133 1.579045 2.873818 5.239716 10.022187
2026-04-19 0.268628 0.478896 0.848055 1.557261 2.919467 5.489307 10.867461
2026-04-26 0.244068 0.445341 0.807569 1.522112 2.934422 5.680288 11.618952
2026-05-03 0.222643 0.415310 0.770314 1.488499 2.947400 5.867009 12.384489
2026-05-10 0.209480 0.399451 0.757817 1.501354 3.053843 6.252475 13.624892
2026-05-17 0.195381 0.380359 0.737126 1.495228 3.119882 6.560996 14.737808
2026-05-24 0.181209 0.359746 0.711395 1.475750 3.154908 6.806521 15.740536
2026-05-31 0.164897 0.333308 0.671481 1.422078 3.109232 6.869040 16.320839
2026-06-07 0.154847 0.318819 0.654669 1.416313 3.169210 7.175441 17.534003
2026-06-14 0.151864 0.318844 0.668120 1.478527 3.391187 7.882112 19.849250
2026-06-21 0.143159 0.305818 0.652457 1.473273 3.454458 8.219830 21.266183